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Essen 2012: Ranking Tracker
Jeff Clark
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Surbiton
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Continuing in the tradition of previous year's ranking trackers, I have decided to make one myself. It hopes to shed some light on the question:

Which Essen rating system does the best job of predicting future success of a particular game?

I have therefore selected a subset of all Essen games, and will track them over the course of the next year, to see if one particular source does a better job than another in predicting a games eventual rank.

Games were chosen from:

1.) BGG's own Geekbuzz system - taking the top 100 games as rated by users at the fair itself.
2.) Fairplay's final ratings of Essen games
3.) The pre-Essen "Essen Geek Mini" list, found at http://essengeek.dssr.ch/index.php

This list is intended to track games newly released at (or just before) the fair, so games published earlier shouldn't be here. If I've missed some, send me a PM.

I'm happy to add other games from the Essen fair -if- they end up ranking higher than any of these games on the overall BGG rankings, as it would help point out "undiscovered" games that went on to do well. If you're aware of any of these, send me a PM and I'll add them.
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76. Board Game: Central Market [Average Rating:6.25 Overall Rank:6237]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 70
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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77. Board Game: Air King [Average Rating:5.98 Overall Rank:6439]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 47
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a

24 Nov / 6.92 / 4804 / 70
1 Dec [Average Rating:6.89 Overall Rank:4813] 71
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78. Board Game: Construction Zone [Average Rating:5.77 Overall Rank:7527]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 62
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a

1 Dec [Average Rating:6.47 Overall Rank:5515] 74
 
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79. Board Game: Food Chain [Average Rating:5.58 Overall Rank:8503]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 48
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a

Date / Avg Rating / Overall Rank / Rank on List
23 Oct / n/a / 5247 / 34
24 Oct / n/a / 4951 / 40
25 Oct / 6.37 / 4819 / 44
26 Oct / 6.40 / 4699 / 45
24 Nov / 6.33 / 4554 / 67
1 Dec [Average Rating:6.32 Overall Rank:4514] 67
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80. Board Game: Blackrock City [Average Rating:5.47 Overall Rank:8870]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 97
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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81. Board Game: Big Badaboom [Average Rating:5.23 Overall Rank:9771]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 29
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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82. Board Game: Fallen City of Karez [Average Rating:4.79 Overall Rank:10765]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: n/a
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 31
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83. Board Game: 7 Wonders: Cities [Average Rating:7.92 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.92 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 5
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 5 (on expansion list)
 
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84. Board Game: Agricola: Belgium Deck [Average Rating:7.11 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.11 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 71
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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85. Board Game: Aristoocrazy [Average Rating:5.59 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 82
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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86. Board Game: Carson City: Gold & Guns [Average Rating:7.85 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.85 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.85 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 99
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
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87. Board Game: Dixit 3 [Average Rating:7.91 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.91 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 24
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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88. Board Game: Dungeon Lords: Festival Season [Average Rating:7.88 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.88 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.88 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 67
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 9 on Expansion list
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89. Board Game: Dominion: Dark Ages [Average Rating:8.17 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.17 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 43
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 12 on expansion list
 
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90. Board Game: Eclipse: Rise of the Ancients [Average Rating:8.57 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.57 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 23
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 7 (on expansion list)
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91. Board Game: Escape: Illusions [Average Rating:7.50 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.50 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 14
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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92. Board Game: Flash Point: Fire Rescue – 2nd Story [Average Rating:7.68 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.68 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 76
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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93. Board Game: Galaxy Trucker: Another Big Expansion [Average Rating:8.13 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.13 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 35
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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94. Board Game: King of Tokyo: Power Up! [Average Rating:7.74 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.74 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 36
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 6 (on expansion list)
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95. Board Game: The Ladies of Troyes [Average Rating:7.84 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.84 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 51
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: 8 (on expansion list)
 
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96. Board Game: Magnum Sal: Muria [Average Rating:7.58 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.58 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 96
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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97. Board Game: Power Grid: Northern Europe/United Kingdom & Ireland [Average Rating:8.00 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.00 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 75
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
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98. Board Game: Race for the Galaxy: Alien Artifacts [Average Rating:7.61 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.61 Unranked]
Jeff Clark
United Kingdom
Surbiton
Surrey
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Geekbuzz rank: 98
Fairplay rank: n/a
Essen Geek Mini rank: n/a
 
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