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How Expansions Improve upon the Base Game: A Look at the Data
Doug Faust
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I was thinking about how expansions are rated on BGG, and I thought it might make for an interesting list if I compared the ratings of popular expansions to the ratings of their respective base games, to see which expansions most improved upon the base game.

For this geeklist, I considered the top 50 expansions on BGG (based on Bayesian average). I used the stats analyzer to get a list of ratings by users who had rated BOTH the base game and the expansion, and then compared the average ratings (raw average, not Bayesian) of that user group for the games, as well as calculated on a user-by-user basis how many liked each better.

DISCLAIMER: I don't know anything about a lot of the expansions in this list. If an item is on this list that you don't consider an expansion, well, BGG has it flagged as an expansion, so there. If an item on this list has the wrong base game associated with it, oops. If your favorite expansion does not appear on this list, that's because either it is not in the top 50 expansions by Bayesian average, or it is not flagged as an expansion. Or I made a mistake.

Anyway, I got some surprising (and not so surprising) results:

SURPRISING-- It looks like users who rated both a game and its expansion rarely rate the expansion higher. Of the 38,967 ratings pairs in this analysis, only 5,970 (15.3%) rated the expansion as outright better. 17,658 (45.3%) rated both the game and its expansion as the same, and 15,339 (39.4%) rated the base game as better. For me, I'd rate an expansion higher if my experience playing the game with its expansion was better than my experience just playing the base game. Based on this data, it looks like a lot of people have different criteria.

SURPRISING-- Advanced Civilization is #1? That certainly wouldn't have been my guess.

NOT-SO-SURPRISING-- People who rated the expansions tend to rate the base game higher than the general population. If you tried the game and didn't like it, odds are that you won't even try the expansion.

NOT-SO-SURPRISING-- The Puerto Rico Expansion is not very popular.

NOT-SO-SURPRISING-- Neither are the Settlers 5-6 Player Expansions.
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26. Board Game: Heroscape Expansion Set: Orm's Return [Average Rating:7.60 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.60 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Heroscape Master Set: Rise of the Valkyrie.

Users rating both: 356
Base game rating: 8.28
Expansion rating: 7.87
Delta: -0.41
Users rating base game higher: 133 (37.4%)
Users rating both the same: 191 (53.7%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 32 (9.0%)
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27. Board Game: Banzai [Average Rating:8.21 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.21 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Up Front.

Users rating both: 242
Base game rating: 8.64
Expansion rating: 8.18
Delta: -0.46
Users rating base game higher: 101 (41.7%)
Users rating both the same: 124 (51.2%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 17 (7.0%)
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28. Board Game: War of the Ring: Battles of the Third Age [Average Rating:8.11 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.11 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands War of the Ring (first edition).

Users rating both: 402
Base game rating: 8.78
Expansion rating: 8.31
Delta: -0.47
Users rating base game higher: 171 (42.5%)
Users rating both the same: 185 (46.0%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 46 (11.4%)
 
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29. Board Game: Yanks: ASL Module 3 [Average Rating:8.21 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.21 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Advanced Squad Leader.

Users rating both: 207
Base game rating: 8.81
Expansion rating: 8.33
Delta: -0.48
Users rating base game higher: 88 (42.5%)
Users rating both the same: 103 (49.8%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 16 (7.7%)
 
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30. Board Game: RoboRally: Crash and Burn [Average Rating:7.81 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.81 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands RoboRally.

Users rating both: 472
Base game rating: 8.21
Expansion rating: 7.73
Delta: -0.48
Users rating base game higher: 184 (39.0%)
Users rating both the same: 269 (57.0%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 19 (4.0%)
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31. Board Game: Heroscape Expansion Set: Malliddon's Prophecy [Average Rating:7.65 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.65 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Heroscape Master Set: Rise of the Valkyrie.

Users rating both: 627
Base game rating: 8.19
Expansion rating: 7.70
Delta: -0.49
Users rating base game higher: 173 (42.7%)
Users rating both the same: 207 (51.5%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 25 (6.2%)
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32. Board Game: Power Grid: Benelux/Central Europe [Average Rating:8.07 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.07 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Power Grid.

Users rating both: 627
Base game rating: 8.83
Expansion rating: 8.34
Delta: -0.49
Users rating base game higher: 297 (47.4%)
Users rating both the same: 289 (46.1%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 41 (6.5%)
 
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33. Board Game: Memoir '44: Pacific Theater [Average Rating:7.83 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.83 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Memoir '44.

Users rating both: 383
Base game rating: 8.53
Expansion rating: 8.02
Delta: -0.51
Users rating base game higher: 171 (44.6%)
Users rating both the same: 189 (49.3%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 23 (6.0%)
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34. Board Game: Heroscape Expansion Set: Fortress of the Archkyrie [Average Rating:7.67 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.67 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Heroscape Master Set: Rise of the Valkyrie.

Users rating both: 229
Base game rating: 8.42
Expansion rating: 7.86
Delta: -0.56
Users rating base game higher: 98 (42.8%)
Users rating both the same: 98 (42.8%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 33 (14.4%)
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35. Board Game: Age of Steam Expansion #1: England & Ireland [Average Rating:8.08 Unranked] [Average Rating:8.08 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Age of Steam.

Users rating both: 329
Base game rating: 8.84
Expansion rating: 8.26
Delta: -0.58
Users rating base game higher: 163 (49.5%)
Users rating both the same: 137 (41.6%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 29 (8.8%)
 
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36. Board Game: Power Grid: France/Italy [Average Rating:7.97 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.97 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Power Grid.

Users rating both: 910
Base game rating: 8.74
Expansion rating: 8.15
Delta: -0.59
Users rating base game higher: 454 (49.9%)
Users rating both the same: 421 (46.3%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 35 (3.8%)
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37. Board Game: Heroscape Expansion Set: Utgar's Rage [Average Rating:7.70 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.70 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
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Expands Heroscape Master Set: Rise of the Valkyrie.

Users rating both: 326
Base game rating: 8.37
Expansion rating: 7.77
Delta: -0.60
Users rating base game higher: 157 (48.2%)
Users rating both the same: 152 (46.6%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 17 (5.2%)
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38. Board Game: Arkham Horror: The King in Yellow Expansion [Average Rating:7.67 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.67 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Malverne
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Expands Arkham Horror.

Users rating both: 300
Base game rating: 8.66
Expansion rating: 8.04
Delta: -0.62
Users rating base game higher: 152 (50.7%)
Users rating both the same: 127 (42.3%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 21 (7.0%)
 
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39. Board Game: Paratrooper: ASL Module 2 [Average Rating:7.84 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.84 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
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New York
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Expands Advanced Squad Leader.

Users rating both: 209
Base game rating: 8.68
Expansion rating: 8.05
Delta: -0.63
Users rating base game higher: 99 (47.4%)
Users rating both the same: 92 (44.0%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 18 (8.6%)
 
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40. Board Game: Arkham Horror: Curse of the Dark Pharaoh Expansion [Average Rating:7.35 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.35 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Malverne
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Expands Arkham Horror.

Users rating both: 641
Base game rating: 8.39
Expansion rating: 7.76
Delta: -0.63
Users rating base game higher: 338 (52.7%)
Users rating both the same: 253 (39.5%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 50 (7.8%)
 
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41. Board Game: RoboRally: Grand Prix [Average Rating:7.79 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.79 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
Malverne
New York
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Expands RoboRally.

Users rating both: 380
Base game rating: 8.30
Expansion rating: 7.67
Delta: -0.63
Users rating base game higher: 166 (43.7%)
Users rating both the same: 197 (51.8%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 17 (4.5%)
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42. Board Game: Catan: Seafarers [Average Rating:7.21 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.21 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
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New York
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Expands Catan.

Users rating both: 3,079
Base game rating: 8.02
Expansion rating: 7.34
Delta: -0.68
Users rating base game higher: 1,514 (49.2%)
Users rating both the same: 1,095 (35.6%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 470 (15.3%)
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43. Board Game: Catan: Cities & Knights – 5-6 Player Extension [Average Rating:7.15 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.15 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Catan.

Users rating both: 821
Base game rating: 8.08
Expansion rating: 7.37
Delta: -0.71
Users rating base game higher: 422 (51.4%)
Users rating both the same: 231 (28.1%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 168 (20.5%)
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44. Board Game: Catan: 5-6 Player Extension [Average Rating:7.04 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.04 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
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Expands Catan.

Users rating both: 2,526
Base game rating: 8.07
Expansion rating: 7.24
Delta: -0.83
Users rating base game higher: 1,251 (49.5%)
Users rating both the same: 1,134 (44.9%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 141 (5.6%)
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45. Board Game: Memoir '44: Terrain Pack [Average Rating:7.40 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.40 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Memoir '44.

Users rating both: 498
Base game rating: 8.42
Expansion rating: 7.54
Delta: -0.88
Users rating base game higher: 300 (60.2%)
Users rating both the same: 179 (35.9%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 19 (3.8%)
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46. Board Game: Age of Steam Expansion #3: Scandinavia and Korea [Average Rating:7.84 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.84 Unranked]
Doug Faust
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Expands Age of Steam.

Users rating both: 241
Base game rating: 8.97
Expansion rating: 8.02
Delta: -0.95
Users rating base game higher: 159 (66.0%)
Users rating both the same: 68 (28.2%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 14 (5.8%)
 
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47. Board Game: The El Grande Expansions [Average Rating:7.39 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.39 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.39 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
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New York
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Expands El Grande.

Users rating both: 394
Base game rating: 8.62
Expansion rating: 7.63
Delta: -0.99
Users rating base game higher: 230 (58.4%)
Users rating both the same: 133 (33.8%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 31 (7.9%)
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48. Board Game: Age of Steam Expansion #2: Western US and Germany [Average Rating:7.85 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.85 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
Malverne
New York
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Expands Age of Steam.

Users rating both: 230
Base game rating: 9.05
Expansion rating: 8.02
Delta: -1.03
Users rating base game higher: 155 (67.4%)
Users rating both the same: 71 (30.9%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 4 (1.7%)
 
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49. Board Game: Carcassonne: The River II [Average Rating:7.16 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.16 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
Malverne
New York
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Expands Carcassonne.

Users rating both: 896
Base game rating: 8.27
Expansion rating: 7.20
Delta: -1.07
Users rating base game higher: 575 (64.2%)
Users rating both the same: 273 (30.5%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 48 (5.4%)
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50. Board Game: Puerto Rico: Expansion I – New Buildings [Average Rating:7.54 Unranked] [Average Rating:7.54 Unranked]
Doug Faust
United States
Malverne
New York
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Expands Puerto Rico.

Users rating both: 1,043
Base game rating: 8.76
Expansion rating: 7.52
Delta: -1.24
Users rating base game higher: 713 (68.4%)
Users rating both the same: 270 (25.9%)
Users rating the expansion higher: 60 (5.8%)
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