Very very bloody game but I think its tipped vs. the Paraguayans but still the Paraguayans have a chance to win the game.
The most challenging side are obviously the Paraguayans.
The Paraguayans have two ways to win:
1. Go for the sudden death victory, the Paraguayans have the advantage of having all of their units in place at the start of the game vs. a light defending force of Brazilians and Argentines, unfortunately on turn 1, movement points are halved so there is no way you can achieve sudden death on turn 1. While the starting Brazilians and argentines will most likely be wiped out by a coordinated and well thought out Paraguayan invasion force, they will have to contend with the massive amount of reinforcements the Alliance(Brazil and Argentina) gets which the Alliance player gets to use for defending the sudden death victory hexes. On turn 2, the attrition roll will be the most important, as it will determine between victory and defeat of the sudden death tactic of the Paraguayans, if the Paraguayans get less attrited and the ALliance units get critically attrited then I think the Paraguayans will probably win, otherwise, say goodbye to the Paraguayan cause within the next few turns as the Alliance will probably build up their forces with massive reinforcements coming and a very fertile replacement mode will roll up a very depleted and overextended Paraguayan force.
2. Defensive Tactic: The Paraguayans can maybe think that denying territory will win the war. I think that while the game will probably be longer. I think this is quite tricky for both sides as Both sides will probably have to settle for a slow grinding campaign and again attrition will be critical though I suspect, the Alliance offensive will not start until turn 2 at the earliest(he gets more massive numbers of reinforcements). Expect both sides to lose massive amounts of units and the side which gets the less attrition will probably win.
The game is quite simple and easy and straighforward to play(3 complexity on the GMT scale). Playayble in an evening in my opinion. The game can be tense especially if the Paraguayan player chooses the defensive tactic.
In the end I quite enjoyed it. A very good game on a very obscure topic. the only niggle I had was that it does not really portray the political and social effects of the war but only the military side but I think this is what Javier Romero just had in mind. Now if a card driven game of the conflict can be made....(I hope I'm giving people ideas.).
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