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Lust. Top 266 Wargame Analysis.
David Dockter
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In June, I performed an analysis of the Top 266 Wargames according to BGG (Top defined as a wargame with at least 100 ratings) and authored a 33 page report regarding the analysis. Recently, I updated that analysis and have began to examine other items of interest contained in the Top 266 Wargame database. One item, was that these games get an average of 1 new rating a week. Consequently, the new hurdle rate is 113 ratings (20 new games passed the 100 mark, so I'll be pruning the database to reflect a few new entries and remove a few games that failed to keep pace).

This list takes the Top wargames and examines the relationship between the number of BGGer's wanting to trade the game and the number of BGGer's wanting to acquire the game; believing that this relationship would be THE rating i.e. Do you want the game, or do you want to get rid of it? Essentially, the LUST Ratio.

Top on the list - no surprise: A WWII East Front Tactical game that was also recently the Top rated wargame: Conflict of Heroes. ONE person wanting to trade it vs 170 BGGers lusting after it: a lust ratio of 0.01 (1/170)

I've listed the ratio's for the other top wargames (ratio = # of BGGers trading it vs # of BGGers wanting to acquire the game). The lower the ratio, the higher the lust for the game.

At least 40 BGGers had to want the game for it to be included on this list.

Seven of the 25 games are Card Driven Wargames and seven of the wargames have a game weight of 3.74 or more - true heavyweights. Only 2 wargames on the list before 2001: We the People and Breakout Normandy (although Russian Campaign v4 is of course an update of that classic we grew up on during the 70's).

13 games were published between 2005 > 2008. Only 2 multiplayer games on the list - and both CDWs: HIS and SOR. 12 WWII games (WWII seems to always be 50% of the hobby - however one cuts the analysis). 14 strategic level games.

Good mix of publishers (8 different ones), with GMT (6) leading the way and MMP (4) in second place.

Some correlations: -0.35 between age and lust ratio (makes sense, the classics just don't the love they deserve anymore), -0.51 between lust ratio and overall BGG rating (should be higher than that you would think) and -0.01 between lust ratio and game weight (no relationship).

The Top 266 wargame analysis discussion board is here:

http://talk.consimworld.com/WebX?13@949.Jk6VebAznkK.14@.1dd3...

..and the 33 page analysis is here:

http://www.thewargamer.com/grognard/gamedata.pdf

...and a discussion board on BGG related to the Top 266 Wargame analysis

http://www.boardgamegeek.com/article/2628866#2628866


I've also put together a list that is the flipside of this one: those games that have the highest ratio of trade to want; the you don't love me anymore list:

http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34647
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1. Board Game: Conflict of Heroes: Awakening the Bear! – Russia 1941-42 [Average Rating:7.55 Overall Rank:435]
 
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Lust Ratio of 0.01...1 Wanting to trade (better contact him or her quickly if you want a copy - and have something VERY special to offer), 170 Wanting the game
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2. Board Game: EastFront II [Average Rating:8.05 Overall Rank:1359] [Average Rating:8.05 Unranked]
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Lust Ratio 0.03... 3 trade/89 want

Great game - wore mine out sometime ago.
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3. Board Game: Whistling Death [Average Rating:8.19 Overall Rank:3106]
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0.05 2T/41w
 
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4. Board Game: Napoleon's Triumph [Average Rating:8.01 Overall Rank:424]
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0.06 9T/156W
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5. Board Game: Manoeuvre [Average Rating:7.31 Overall Rank:685] [Average Rating:7.31 Unranked]
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0.06.. 10t/157w

Also makes the highly "used" (played) list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34675
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6. Board Game: Twilight Struggle [Average Rating:8.33 Overall Rank:5]
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0.07.. 36t/492w


Also makes the highly "used" (played) list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34675
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7. Board Game: Here I Stand [Average Rating:7.94 Overall Rank:184]
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0.08 14t/165w
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8. Board Game: We the People [Average Rating:7.31 Overall Rank:1145]
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0.09 19t/210w

Second oldest game on the list (1994) and started the whole Card Driven Wargame craze. Someone should reprint this one.

Also makes the highly "used" (played) list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34675
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9. Board Game: Warriors of God [Average Rating:7.43 Overall Rank:1107]
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0.09 10t/110w

Saw this played at WBC - looks like a blast.

Also makes the come out of the closet list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34673 - people haven't had enough time to play it yet.
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10. Board Game: Hammer of the Scots [Average Rating:7.56 Overall Rank:325]
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0.09 39t/416w

Also makes the highly "used" (played) list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34675
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11. Board Game: Shifting Sands [Average Rating:7.31 Overall Rank:1899]
 
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0.10 t10/w110
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12. Board Game: Triumph of Chaos [Average Rating:7.54 Overall Rank:2510]
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0.10.... 8t/77w

Also makes the Love Me. Hate Me list http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34677
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13. Board Game: The Russian Campaign (fourth and fifth editions) [Average Rating:7.66 Overall Rank:2864]
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0.11... 6t/56w
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14. Board Game: The Devil's Cauldron: The Battles for Arnhem and Nijmegen [Average Rating:8.16 Overall Rank:1772]
David Dockter
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0.11 6t/54w

Also makes the Love Me. Hate Me list http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34677

My most wanted game on the list - keep hearing great things about it.
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15. Board Game: Crusader Rex [Average Rating:7.17 Overall Rank:1336]
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0.12 21t/171w

Also makes the highly "used" (played) list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34675
 
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16. Board Game: Liberty: The American Revolution 1775-83 [Average Rating:7.17 Overall Rank:2270]
David Dockter
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0.12 12t/97w
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17. Board Game: Wilderness War [Average Rating:7.74 Overall Rank:626]
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0.13 20t/160w
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18. Board Game: Monty's Gamble: Market Garden [Average Rating:7.07 Overall Rank:3241]
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0.13 8t/61w
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19. Board Game: FAB: The Bulge [Average Rating:7.43 Overall Rank:1628]
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0.13 8t/60w

Also makes the come out of the closet list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34673 - people haven't had enough time to play it yet.
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20. Board Game: World at War: Eisenbach Gap [Average Rating:7.51 Overall Rank:1674]
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0.14... 8t/58w
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21. Board Game: Bonaparte at Marengo [Average Rating:7.40 Overall Rank:1300]
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0.14 34t/242w

Also makes the highly "used" (played) list: http://www.boardgamegeek.com/geeklist/34675
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22. Board Game: Advanced Squad Leader: Starter Kit #2 [Average Rating:7.92 Overall Rank:798]
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0.16 12t/75w
 
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23. Board Game: Sword of Rome [Average Rating:7.32 Overall Rank:909]
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0.16 17t/106w
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24. Board Game: Silent War [Average Rating:7.37 Overall Rank:1973]
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0.16 19t/118w

Just picked this one up at WBC - can't wait to try it.
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25. Board Game: Breakout: Normandy [Average Rating:7.66 Overall Rank:1030]
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0.17 18t/109w

Oldest game on the list (1992) - which says something about what a great game this is. Someone should reprint this one.
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